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Black Friday Predictions for 2017
Posted October 11, 2017 by GottaDEAL Staff
This year marks our 14th year covering Black Friday here on GottaDEAL. As we do every year, we’ll use our past Black Friday experiences and expert deal hunting skills to come up with a set of predictions for what you can expect on Black Friday this year, both in stores and via the many great online sales to come.
We post hundreds of deals each week all year long on GottaDEAL, which makes it possible to accurately predict what kind of deals will likely appear in Black Friday ads this year. We also consider the opinions and predictions of many of our forum members when compiling these predictions.
Last year we saw many stores continue to open earlier in the day on Thursday, much to the dismay of those Black Friday shoppers that wish to enjoy Thanksgiving at home. Major retailers such as Best Buy, Walmart, Target, Kohl’s and Toys R Us opened at 5pm or 6pm. Some stores continue to fall on the side of tradition with Friday morning openings, including Lowe’s, Costco and Sam’s Club.
This year we see things holding in place as far as opening times. We see the major stores again opening at 5pm or 6pm on Thanksgiving this year. We're not expecting many stores to open earlier this year, and we might even see a few stores that traditionally were open on Thanksgiving decide to stay closed this year.
When it comes to the quality of deals, we're not expecting a noticeable increase in the “hotness” of deals in this year’s ads. We thing the level of deals will be quite similar to what we saw the last few years. We also expect retailers to continue to focus more of their attention (and stock levels) on the online component of their Black Friday sale.
We expect the earlier pre-Black Friday sales to continue, and we think the deals offered earlier in the month will be even better than last year, leading to more pre-Black Friday revenue for retailers and more deals for shoppers. These pre-Black Friday sales will be available both in stores and online and we'll cover the best ones here on the site.
We’ve also seen the continuing trend of certain retailers using Black Friday to hype up lackluster sale events throughout the year, with taglines such as “Black Friday in July”, however we have yet to see any of these sales amount to anything even approaching the traditional November sales. Unlike these disappointing sales, we expect early November deals to be worth checking out.
From 2013 to 2016, many of the top retailers including Walmart, Best Buy, Target and Kohl’s decided to release their Black Friday ads early, and they all did it within a crazy 24 hour period. We expect this to likely be the case again this year, so mark November 7th and 8th on your calendar as the days when the hottest ads will most likely be leaked.
While overall retail numbers have been relatively stagnant the past few years, online shopping continues to see huge growth with plenty of room to grow even more. Last year once again saw a massive increase in online sales for Thanksgiving and Black Friday and we expect an even bigger jump this year.
We’ve consistently found November to be the best month of the year for online deals. We’re expecting some great deals all month long with sales continuing through the first half of December. Keep in mind that despite the name, online Black Friday sales typically start on Wednesday of that week, so if you wait until Friday to do your online shopping, you’ll be missing out on the best online Black Friday deals.
The sheer number of sales and deals offered online can be overwhelming, especially for those who are not as experienced with online shopping. As always we’ll be here to help you by analyzing the sales and letting you know about the best ones we find so you can score the top deals before they sell out.
Check the links below for our exclusive predictions for the most popular items this year in major product categories:message boards.